Analysis- 4G coming- Predicting the three operators of the market(分析- 4 g来预测三个运营商的市场份额)
Analysis: 4G coming: Predicting the three
operators of the market
(Research papers Download News) Let me talk a digression that happened, in the Ministry of hybrid network of 4G license this juncture, my one on the LTE physical layer and network deployment also crank up the manuscript so in the topic I will combine the contents of this book, talk about some of this time to think about the result.
Obviously, the decision marks the Chinese Ministry of Industry and eventually into the 4G era, if we are familiar with to describe historical events, may resemble the Battle of Red Cliff, the operator determines the 4G era third of the world pattern.
Operators third of the world is not a new topic, and has long been pigeon-holing, the largest share of Chinese mobile users is defined as the ANC, the other two slightly different, I personally tend to be defined as Sichuan, China Unicom, whichever was the orthodox position,
mainstream technology roadmap GSM-WCDMA-LTE, the China Telecom is defined as Wu, whichever is hard south, 1
the foundation firmly.
In fact, the condemnation is not the point, the key is the difference between the three operators and history of the three countries.
Obviously, there are three operators on the MIIT. Layman’s terms, the three operators like game three, the situation may be altered at any time the player’s decision.
Since it is not arbitrary, it is very critical of how to divide the world, that is, for the operators, the pattern of what will happen, what makes a successful pattern.
My understanding is that the pattern of the market, but this share can also be subdivided into users share, the share of business volume and revenue share. Revenue share is the ultimate indicator, while the volume of business users share and revenue share will affect share in addition to market share additional operators still competition changes in market share, the so-called momentum.
In the 2G era, the bigger the number of users more power and prestige, you gotta call, naturally there will be income, but to the era of 3G data services become the main business volume, proportion between the number of 2
users and traffic, the greater the volume of business, The more income will be.
But over the years, it seems that only the user’s eyes
operators share the user as a share of the golden rule, can not be said that this doctrine is outdated in the 4G era.
In the 4G era, operators of the market will be like the pattern it? Here I analyze.
China Mobile currently has more than 60% of mobile users share through 3G battle, visible Han Shan Yi, mobile users share hard to shake, so the share of mobile subscribers in three to five years, remained at 60 percent or more is inevitable, but if China want to move further, get 70% share of users, I think it is very difficult, because this second third of the world, it certainly upset the balance, to create the conditions for the management of the shot, so I think that China Mobile possession 65% of users share is reasonable.
Of course, since China Mobile 2G users ones, the amount of data the share of Chinese mobile users is certainly less than 60%, therefore, issues facing China Mobile users should adjust the ratio, so that the share of the volume of business can reach more than 6 percent, 3
which is China Mobile’s success.
As for China Telecom in the early stages of my cautiously optimistic 4G era, similar to China Mobile, the user’s available bandwidth with the magnitude of the increase, bringing the user experience is also an order of magnitude improvement is expected to reverse the user share has been going down trend.
But I do not think that China Telecom has the ability to comeback, the user share of China Telecom has improved on the basis of the status quo should be satisfied, I expect China Telecom users share should be 15%.
In fact, China Telecom is also no need to comeback, deep plowing users to enhance the volume of business users, so that the volume of business done two to share, I think that the success of China Telecom, China Telecom should be pursuing for a long time, the so-called ‘letter
Zhiyuan.’ I am optimistic about China Telecom to
become the first operator in the century-old.
Finally, talk about China Unicom in the 3G era, the use of mainstream WCDMA technology, China Unicom first to receive orders of magnitude increase in available bandwidth users, thus showing a good momentum of 4
growth in market share can be said from the potential of the.
In short, or previously mentioned, users share is critical, more critical than the user share is the share of business volume. Third of the world, to see who’s better share of
the volume of business
However, with the advent of 4G era, the user experience will return to the same starting line, then Unicom’s momentum will inevitably be curbed, so if you can keep the remaining 20% plus 20% of business users share volume share, maintaining Lives basic disk, it can be seen as China Unicom’s success.
In short, or previously mentioned, users share is critical, more critical than the share of the volume of business users share third of the world, to see who’s the better
share of business volume (text / Sun Yutong Source: Genesis thing in mind
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